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英国石油预警全年产量将低于预期(二)

2005-10-09 00:00

  In February BP chief executive Lord Browne predicted his company would produce between 4.1m to 4.2m barrels of oil equivalents a day but admitted this would only be achieved "adjusting for the impact of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita and the impact of higher prices on production sharing contracts". As for the effect of the storms on profits, BP "estimates that the impact...on third-quarter replacement cost profit before interest and tax will be in excess of $700m", as a result of disruption, clean-up and repairs. There would be an additional $100m worth of costs resulting from the repairs needed to the Thunder Horse production platform in the US Gulf following the passing of Hurricane Dennis.

  Although the financial damage is considerable, it is easily manageable for a company with expected 2005 profits of more than $20bn, analysts said. Bruce Evers from Investec Securities said the impact of the storms was heavier than he had expected. "It's a big number but you have to remember that BP is a very big company." Mr Evers said BP figures indicated that up to 175,000 barrels of oil equivalents a day could be lost in the fourth quarter with a possible 50,000 in the first three months of 2006.

  BP confirmed this while warning: "The figures for the third quarter will not be finalised completely until October 25 [the date the third-quarter financial results will be released] therefore it is too early to say exactly what the fourth quarter will look like," a spokeswoman said.

  Mr Evers said it was hard to estimate exactly what the total financial damage to the company would be owing to volatility in the oil markets which would affect future marketing costs. Investec said it would be revising downwards its 2005 annual profit estimates from the current $22.3bn, which compares with actual earnings of $16.4bn in 2004.

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